Introduction to the book:
Analyzing Complex Societal Problems
A METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH
Dorien J. DeTombe
Cor van Dijkum
Editors
This book is the result of the First International Conference on Methods and Tools for Analyzing Societal Problems that took place in November 1994 at Delft University of Technology and Utrecht University in the Netherlands.
CIP-DATA KONINKLIJKE BIBLIOTHEEK, DEN HAAG
DeTombe, Dorien J. & C. van Dijkum
Analyzing Complex Societal Problems: a methodological approach / Dorien J. DeTombe & C. van Dijkum (Editors)
Munich; Mering; Hampp, 1996 With ref. - With authors description
ISBN 3-87988-189-8 NE: DeTombe, Dorien J.[Hrsg.]
Subject headings: methodology/ tools/ simulation/ complex societal problems
ă 1996 Dorien J. DeTombe
Dr. Dorien J. DeTombe
Chair International - , Euro - , West-Euro- & Dutch Operational Research Research Group Complex Societal Problems & Issues
P.O. Box. 3286, 1001 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Europe
Tel: +31 20 6927526 E-Mail: DeTombe@lri.jur.uva.nl
http: //www.geocities.com/doriendetombe
Publisher: Rainer Hampp Verlag Munchen und Mering Meringzeller Str. 16 D-86415 Mering Germany Fax + 49 8233 307 55
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Introduction
Analyzing societal problems in an interdisciplinary way has become a must for our society and a challenge for the human sciences, especially because of the complex character of these problems. It is clear that the problems society is confronted with are difficult to handle and that there is a growing gap between the complexity of these problems and the human capacity to deal with them. In this situation there is a need for better methods and tools, more knowledge and imagination then there seems to be available in our standard domains of knowledge, even in the realms of scientific knowledge. Analyzing societal problems in an interdisciplinary way has become an urgent need for our society and a challenge for the (human) sciences. In this book the challenge is taken seriously from the perspective of a number of disciplines.
The book is the result of the First International Conference on Methods and Tools for Analyzing Societal Problems.
In the book the theoretical and methodological aspects of analyzing complex societal problems are highlighted, together with the practical impacts. These issues are discussed in fields as ecology, computer simulation, management, social medicine, methodology, and social engineering.
In the articles a number of elementary questions are examined about the way complexity is showing up in societal problems and the way the natural and social science can work together to analyze and handle these problems.
This book is the result of the First International Conference on Methods and Tools for Analyzing Societal Problems that took place in November 1994 at Delft University of Technology and Utrecht University in the Netherlands.
Analyzing societal problems in an interdisciplinary way has become a must for our society and a challenge for the human sciences, especially because of the complex character of these problems. It is clear that the problems society is confronted with are difficult to handle and that there is a growing gap between the complexity of these problems and the human capacity to deal with them. In this situation there is a need for better methods and tools, more knowledge and imagination then there seems to be available in our standard domains of knowledge, even in the realms of scientific knowledge. Analyzing societal problems in an interdisciplinary way has become an urgent need for our society and a challenge for the (human) sciences. In this book the challenge is taken seriously from the perspective of a number of disciplines.
The book is the result of the First International Conference on Methods and Tools for Analyzing Societal Problems.
In the book the theoretical and methodological aspects of analyzing complex societal problems are highlighted, together with the practical impacts. These issues are discussed in fields as ecology, computer simulation, management, social medicine, methodology, and social engineering.
In the articles a number of elementary questions are examined about the way complexity is showing up in societal problems and the way the natural and social science can work together to analyze and handle these problems.
CONTENTS
The long road to a science of complexity 1
Compram, a method for analyzing complex interdisciplinary societal
problems
Dorien J. DeTombe 7
The methodology of interdisciplinary handling of problems
Cor van Dijkum 29
Problem drift. Eliciting the hidden role of models and other scientific
tools in the construction of societal reality
Frans A.J. Birrer 43
Using system dynamic modeling techniques for constructing
scenarios of societal problems
Dorien J. DeTombe & Harm ‘t Hart 57
Static versus dynamic modeling in policy analysis: the social
amplification of risk
Giampiero E.G. Beroggi & Markus Aebi 75
Some aspects of management of organizations in turbulent and
complex environments
Tineke P. Bahlmann 95
Simulation as an approach to support institutional design
Ruurd R. Meinsma 117
Analyzing and managing traffic, a model based on intelligent
objects and self organization
Danko Roozemond 135
Design of a dialectic policy analysis method for the management of
production and consumption chains
Remke M. Bras-Klapwijk 149
North America’s management and marketing games as environments
for the study of business related social issues: an inventory with
suggestions for correcting deficiencies
Joseph Wolfe 16
Computer support for organizational diagnosis; the design of a
diagnosis instrument for the analysis of teacher absenteeism
Eugene G.M. Westerhof, Chris J. Frowein & Theo B.M. Postma 179
New vistas on the development of a theory on complex problem
solving
Elmar A. Stuhler & Marjan Vezjak 191
Consensus engineering: a technique for supporting complex
decision-making in organizations
Wim L. M. van Luijn 205
Transfer, simulation and the limits to education
Jan Gerrit Schuurman 223
System approach to some environmental problem solving in sustainable
tourism
Marjan Vezjak & Elmar A. Stuhler 241
A model simulation to evaluate vaccination strategies against
influenza
Arnold Reinders & Johannes C. Jager 255
Gaming/simulation as a tool for analyzing policy problems: the
Diagnost game and the regional network of elderly care
Cisca Joldersma, Gerton Heyne & Jac L. Geurts 267
A master equation model to analyze the dynamics at Austrian national
elections from 1970 to 1990
Kathrin Gruetzmann & Christoph Hofinger 279
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